Werder Bremen under pressure, Schuberts debut against Schalke 04
The Monty Hall trouble is a mind teaser, in the form of a probability puzzle, loosely based upon the American tv game reveal Let s Negotiate and named after its original host, Monty Hall. The problem was originally presented (and also addressed) in a letter by Steve Selvin to the American Statistician in 1975. It came to be popular as an inquiry from reader Craig F. Whitaker s letter estimated in Marilyn vos Sage s Ask Marilyn column in Ceremony publication in 1990: Intend you re on a game show, as well as you re provided the option of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, state No. 1, and also the host, that recognizes what lags the doors, opens an additional door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, Do you want to select door No. 2? Is it to your benefit to change your choice? Vos Savant s reaction was that the entrant ought to switch to the various other door. Under the common presumptions, entrants who switch have a 2/3 oppo...